Re: math question verrrrrry off topic
Hmm, I thought that's what we all already have said, isn't it? That that theoretical probability (1/4x1/4x1/4) would hold only if assumptions were met, and since assumptions are obviously not met (for example, judging is not a random lottery of course but is done on the basis of criteria, arbitrary or otherwise but certainly not random). Also, no one has said whether the 600 entries are 600 works or 600 people; I was assuming that they are 600 works representing fewer than 600 people, in other words people could submit more than one work, in which case, as I said, the number of works submitted per person would also have to be figured into the equation somehow. Besides, if one person submits ten pieces and another person submits one, the ten pieces by the one person couldn't be considered independent entries in the same way one of those ten could be considered independent of the one from the other person, and independence is also an assumption that must be met in order to consider the probability of acceptance to be the same for all entries.
On Jan 18, 2008, at 4:25 PM, Diana Bloomfield wrote:
Okay, Chris. Here is it-- straight from my resident statistician here: